Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Viimsi Staadion, Viimsi
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Timoska A.
Assist: Sikk A.
33' Event
Milk K.
Assist: Aziz A. L.
61' Event
Timoska A.
Assist: Sibul A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Viimsi JK and Tallinna Kalev finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Viimsi JK
20%
Draws
32%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Viimsi JK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Viimsi JK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 20%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi JK Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.1 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev
1:2
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK
0:3
Mar 19, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Jan 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Milk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoska A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi JK 42 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi JK Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi JK's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Tallinna Kalev lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viimsi JK VS Tallinna Kalev
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viimsi JK

(Home)
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
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Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)