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Viitorul Ghimbav vs Universitatea Cluj

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2017/2018
Fri, Apr 6, 2018
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitatea Cluj head into this one in great shape. With an average of 1.5 xG per match, they pose a serious threat even on the road. Universitatea Cluj will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Viitorul Ghimbav to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. The numbers suggest backing Universitatea Cluj has the better value, giving them a 75% chance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Viitorul Ghimbav
15%
Draws
75%
Universitatea Cluj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitatea Cluj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Viitorul Ghimbav picked up more points recently compared to Universitatea Cluj.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Viitorul Ghimbav Clean Sheet 16%
Universitatea Cluj Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viitorul Ghimbav Universitatea Cluj
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 2
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0.54 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.61 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

06.04.18 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Viitorul Ghimbav vs Universitatea Cluj
0:3
30.09.17 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Universitatea Cluj vs Viitorul Ghimbav
7:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Viitorul Ghimbav

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Universitatea Cluj

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viitorul Ghimbav Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
6 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.64

Universitatea Cluj Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
11 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
8 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 1.08

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Universitatea Cluj • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Viitorul Ghimbav • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Universitatea Cluj • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Viitorul Ghimbav • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viitorul Ghimbav 12 / 100
Universitatea Cluj 70 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viitorul Ghimbav Universitatea Cluj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitatea Cluj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Universitatea Cluj & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Viitorul Ghimbav will likely press early to force mistakes.

Viitorul Ghimbav 59%
Universitatea Cluj 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Universitatea Cluj should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Viitorul Ghimbav 54%
Universitatea Cluj 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Viitorul Ghimbav 51%
Universitatea Cluj 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Viitorul Ghimbav to push more players wide.

Viitorul Ghimbav 56%
Universitatea Cluj 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Viitorul Ghimbav 51%
Universitatea Cluj 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Viitorul Ghimbav 62%
Universitatea Cluj 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viitorul Ghimbav attacking → ← attacking Universitatea Cluj

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viitorul Ghimbav have scored in 92% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Universitatea Cluj concede most goals (47%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 20 shots per game, well above the league median.

Viitorul Ghimbav are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

Universitatea Cluj have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 6 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Viitorul Ghimbav wants a European spot, while Universitatea Cluj is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 62
1.04 Goals expected (xG) 1.49
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2