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Viking vs Fredrikstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viking host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Viking at 2.43 goals for, 1 against; Fredrikstad at 1.39 for, 1.46 against. Head-to-head, Viking have won 4 to Fredrikstad's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Viking. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Viking
30%
Draws
31%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Viking have won more games recently than Fredrikstad.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Viking taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Viking have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Viking Clean Sheet 14%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Fredrikstad
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.43 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Viking
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Viking
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Fredrikstad
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Viking vs Fredrikstad
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Viking
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 84 / 100
Fredrikstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viking Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Viking scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Fredrikstad has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Viking stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Fredrikstad
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
01 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 3
Viking
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Viking
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
Page 1 of 6

Fredrikstad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)