Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Viking vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Haugen K.
Assist: Tripic Z.
43' Event
Stensness G.
71'

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Viking and Lillestrom finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viking.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Viking
15%
Draws
40%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Viking carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Viking's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Viking have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Viking Clean Sheet 16%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Lillestrom
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.45 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Viking vs Lillestrom
3:0
Jul 22, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
1:4
May 16, 2024 Eliteserien
Viking vs Lillestrom
1:4
Aug 13, 2023 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viking Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stensness G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 84 / 100
Lillestrom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viking Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Lillestrom let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Viking remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Lillestrom
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Viking
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
02 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Viking
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Lillestrom

(Away)
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3
Lillestrom
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)