Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Viking vs Rosenborg

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Falchener H.
Assist: Tripic Z.
14'
Stensness G.
15' Event
Askildsen K.
Assist: Tripic Z.

AI Match Summary

Viking in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viking.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Viking
33%
Draws
40%
Rosenborg
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Viking have won more games recently than Rosenborg.
  • Rosenborg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Viking Clean Sheet 16%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Rosenborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Eliteserien
Viking vs Rosenborg
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Rosenborg
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Viking
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Viking vs Rosenborg
3:2
Aug 18, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Viking
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viking Compare

Top Goalscorer Falchener H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Askildsen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rosenborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 28 / 100
Rosenborg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Rosenborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Viking has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Rosenborg
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1
Viking
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Rosenborg

(Away)
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5
Manchester United
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Rosenborg
3 : 0
Kristiansund
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)