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Vikingur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vikingur Reykjavik play IR Reykjavik in the League Cup. Vikingur Reykjavik are favorites here. Recently, Vikingur Reykjavik averaged 2.66 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. IR Reykjavik averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Vikingur Reykjavik won 3, IR Reykjavik won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Vikingur Reykjavik and 1.31 for IR Reykjavik. This points to a Vikingur Reykjavik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vikingur Reykjavik
16%
Draws
24%
IR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Vikingur Reykjavik picked up more points recently compared to IR Reykjavik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 18%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik IR Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 24 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 2.66 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 League Cup
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 League Cup
IR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:0
Jan 4, 2025 Reykjavik Cup
IR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
6:1
Jan 13, 2024 Reykjavik Cup
IR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Finnbogason A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunnarsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

IR Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 58 / 100
IR Reykjavik 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik IR Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vikingur Reykjavik attacking → ← attacking IR Reykjavik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur Reykjavik scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

IR Reykjavik let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Vikingur Reykjavik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

IR Reykjavik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 29
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103