Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun

Europe Europe

Europa League Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sigurdsson G.
10' Event
Fehr F.
Assist: Reichmuth N.
16' Event
Sigurdsson G.
Assist: Andrason V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vikingur Reykjavik
30%
Draws
23%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vikingur Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Vikingur Reykjavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vikingur Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik Thun
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Europa League
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun
3:2
Aug 6, 2026 Europa League
Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thordarson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Fehr F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Labeau B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 74 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vikingur Reykjavik scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Thun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vikingur Reykjavik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur Reykjavik VS Thun
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Home)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0