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Viktoria Maryina Gorka vs Zhlobin

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Kolesnev A.
43' Event
Emeljanov A.
56' Event
Grin P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Viktoria Maryina Gorka and Zhlobin finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viktoria Maryina Gorka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
30%
Draws
34%
Zhlobin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viktoria Maryina Gorka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Viktoria Maryina Gorka come out ahead of Zhlobin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Viktoria Maryina Gorka's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Viktoria Maryina Gorka have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka Clean Sheet 14%
Zhlobin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viktoria Maryina Gorka Zhlobin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 2.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Viktoria Maryina Gorka vs Zhlobin
3:2
Jul 11, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Zhlobin vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1:3
May 23, 2015 Belarusian Cup
Zhlobin vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viktoria Maryina Gorka Compare

Top Goalscorer Emeljanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zhlobin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolesnev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kryshnev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viktoria Maryina Gorka 35 / 100
Zhlobin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viktoria Maryina Gorka Zhlobin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhlobin has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Viktoria Maryina Gorka found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Zhlobin registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viktoria Maryina Gorka VS Zhlobin
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dnepr Mogilev201901105:957
2Petrikov20161380:1649
3Osipovichi20121744:3537
4Gorki20105535:2135
5Viktoria Maryina Gorka2094743:3731
6ML Vitebsk2093846:4530
7SMIavtotrans Smolevichi20821045:5326
8BumProm Gomel20731029:5124
9Polotsk20411527:7813
10Energetik-BGATU20231528:599
11Zhlobin20211714:927