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Vila Mea vs AD Limianos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ferreira F.
90' Event
Muacir

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Vila Mea and AD Limianos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vila Mea
30%
Draws
47%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of Vila Mea on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 15%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea AD Limianos
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 16
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs AD Limianos
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Taça de Portugal
AD Limianos vs Vila Mea
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Muacir
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 31 / 100
AD Limianos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Mea's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: AD Limianos conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vila Mea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS AD Limianos
1 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
01 Nov
Braga B
2 : 2
Vila Mea
25 Oct
Vila Mea
1 : 3
Brito
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

AD Limianos

(Away)
01 Nov
Brito
2 : 4
AD Limianos
25 Oct
AD Limianos
3 : 2
Celoricense
18 Oct
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AD Limianos
11 Oct
Vinhais
1 : 2
AD Limianos
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)