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Vila Mea vs Brito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sousa T.
32' Event
Dias M.
72' Event
Gusmao F.

AI Match Summary

Brito in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vila Mea
20%
Draws
44%
Brito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Brito have won more games recently than Vila Mea.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vila Mea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vila Mea have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 20%
Brito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea Brito
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 13 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs Brito
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs Brito
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Vila Mea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Brito Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gusmao F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 42 / 100
Brito 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea Brito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Mea found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Brito conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Vila Mea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS Brito
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
01 Nov
Braga B
2 : 2
Vila Mea
25 Oct
Vila Mea
1 : 3
Brito
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

Brito

(Away)
01 Nov
Brito
2 : 4
AD Limianos
25 Oct
Vila Mea
1 : 3
Brito
18 Oct
Brito
0 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
11 Oct
Brito
0 : 4
Chaves B
20 Sept
Vila Pouca
0 : 5
Brito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)