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Vila Mea vs CDC Montalegre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sun, Dec 6, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Mea host CDC Montalegre in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Vila Mea at 1.21 goals for, 1.24 against; CDC Montalegre at 0.93 for, 1.17 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 0.81) point toward CDC Montalegre. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vila Mea
35%
Draws
40%
CDC Montalegre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CDC Montalegre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CDC Montalegre lately — more wins on the board than Vila Mea.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 20%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea CDC Montalegre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 32 / 100
CDC Montalegre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea CDC Montalegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Mea's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: CDC Montalegre conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Vila Mea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: CDC Montalegre has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS CDC Montalegre
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
01 Nov
Braga B
2 : 2
Vila Mea
25 Oct
Vila Mea
1 : 3
Brito
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

CDC Montalegre

(Away)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)