Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Mea vs Maia Lidador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Mea host Maia Lidador in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Maia Lidador have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Vila Mea have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Vila Mea have won 0 to Maia Lidador's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.88) back Vila Mea to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vila Mea
35%
Draws
40%
Maia Lidador
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maia Lidador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Maia Lidador haven't matched Vila Mea's recent run of results.
  • Vila Mea are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 20%
Maia Lidador Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea Maia Lidador
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 6 3
Draws 14 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Maia Lidador vs Vila Mea
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 36 / 100
Maia Lidador 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea Maia Lidador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maia Lidador has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Vila Mea found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Vila Mea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS Maia Lidador
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
01 Nov
Braga B
2 : 2
Vila Mea
25 Oct
Vila Mea
1 : 3
Brito
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

Maia Lidador

(Away)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Tirsense
3 : 5
Maia Lidador
11 Oct
Maia Lidador
1 : 1
Maria de Fonte
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)