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Vila Mea vs SC Salgueiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pereira P.
52' Event
Djousse D.
90'
Chastre J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Vila Mea and SC Salgueiros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vila Mea
30%
Draws
43%
SC Salgueiros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vila Mea haven't matched SC Salgueiros's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vila Mea's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea SC Salgueiros
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Vila Mea
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs SC Salgueiros
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Vila Mea
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Djousse D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 51 / 100
SC Salgueiros 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea SC Salgueiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Mea scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

SC Salgueiros let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Vila Mea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS SC Salgueiros
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
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SC Salgueiros

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)