Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Mea vs Vinhais

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Morais M.
51' Event
Muacir
54' Event
Santos G.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Vila Mea and Vinhais finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Mea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vila Mea
15%
Draws
0%
Vinhais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vinhais haven't matched Vila Mea's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vila Mea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea Vinhais
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 7 0
Draws 12 0
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.11 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs Vinhais
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muacir
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Vinhais Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 95 / 100
Vinhais 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea Vinhais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinhais's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 10 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vinhais lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Vila Mea found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS Vinhais
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

Vinhais

(Away)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Vinhais
0 : 1
Maria de Fonte
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)