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Vila Nova ES W vs Serra W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women 2025
Vila Nova ES W Logo

Vila Nova ES W

0 - 1
FT
Serra W Logo

Serra W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba Women 2025 game between Vila Nova ES W and Serra W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vila Nova ES W
15%
Draws
36%
Serra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova ES W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Nova ES W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Vila Nova ES W taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vila Nova ES W Clean Sheet 10%
Serra W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova ES W Serra W
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.17 1
Goals Conceded 2.24 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Capixaba Women
Vila Nova ES W vs Serra W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova ES W 83 / 100
Serra W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova ES W Serra W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova ES W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova ES W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Serra W conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.

Away concern: Serra W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova ES W VS Serra W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova ES W

(Home)
10 Aug
EC Sao Geraldo W
0 : 3
Vila Nova ES W
03 Aug
Vila Nova ES W
0 : 1
Serra W
27 Jul
Vila Nova ES W
2 : 2
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Jul
Harpia W
3 : 1
Vila Nova ES W
12 Jul
Vila Nova ES W
3 : 5
Prosperidade W
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Serra W

(Away)
24 Aug
Estadual W
2 : 0
Serra W
17 Aug
Serra W
0 : 7
Estadual W
10 Aug
Serra W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
03 Aug
Vila Nova ES W
0 : 1
Serra W
26 Jul
Serra W
0 : 6
MDE W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estadual W 7 7 0 0 30:5 21
2 Prosperidade W 7 6 0 1 42:6 18
3 MDE W 7 5 0 2 23:18 15
4 Serra W 7 4 0 3 9:19 12
5 Harpia W 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
6 Vila Nova ES W 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
7 EC Sao Geraldo W 7 1 0 6 10:33 3
8 Atletico Capixaba W 7 0 1 6 7:29 1
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