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Vila Nova FC vs Cuiaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Barros E.
57'
Higor
59'
Janderson

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Cuiaba finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Vila Nova FC
15%
Draws
41%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Cuiaba haven't matched Vila Nova FC's recent run of results.
  • Vila Nova FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Cuiaba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Cuiaba
0:0
Jun 14, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Cuiaba
2:2
May 27, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
May 11, 2024 Copa Verde
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova FC
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 59 / 100
Cuiaba 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Vila Nova FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vila Nova FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Cuiaba let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS Cuiaba
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
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Cuiaba

(Away)
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
4 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
5 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)