Sport Picks
Vila Nova FC vs Goias
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia 
Match Events
11'
11'
Lucas Ribeiro
14'
14'
Joao Vieira
21'
21'
Luisao
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Goias finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of Goias on wins alone.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Goias Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vila Nova FC | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Goias
2:0
May 9, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Goiano
Goias vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Goias
2:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Vila Nova FC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vila Nova FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hayner
1 Goals Assists Leader Andre Luis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Goias Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vila Nova FC 41 / 100
Goias 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vila Nova FC Goias
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Vila Nova FC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Goias has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Vila Nova FC VS Goias
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vila Nova FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
Goias
(Away) 02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
26 Sept
Goias
0 : 1 Atletico GO
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1 Avai
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1 Goias
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0 Goias
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 56 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 54 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 53 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 47 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 46 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 45 |
| 12 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
