Sport Picks

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Vila Nova FC vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Kaue Leonardo
33'
Caio
45' Event
Everton Galdino
Assist: Marquinhos Gabriel

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Londrina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vila Nova FC
15%
Draws
27%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of Londrina on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 22%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Londrina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Londrina
2:0
May 31, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Nov 10, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Londrina
4:1
Jul 15, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 12, 2022 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Londrina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Galdino
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonathan Costa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Londrina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 37 / 100
Londrina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Vila Nova FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vila Nova FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Londrina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS Londrina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
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Londrina

(Away)
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)