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Vila Nova FC W vs Itabirito W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Luana Rodrigues
29' Event
Thaynara
36' Event
Bruna Marques

AI Match Summary

Itabirito W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabirito W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vila Nova FC W
6%
Draws
90%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W haven't matched Itabirito W's recent run of results.
  • Itabirito W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 11%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC W Itabirito W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Itabirito W
1:5
Jul 5, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Itabirito W
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Itabirito W vs Vila Nova FC W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thaynara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luana Rodrigues
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruna Marques
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC W 10 / 100
Itabirito W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vila Nova FC W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Itabirito W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Vila Nova FC W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC W VS Itabirito W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC W

(Home)
30 May
Vila Nova FC W
3 : 2
Taubate W
23 May
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
20 May
Itacoatiara W
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
16 May
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 2
Atletico-PI W
13 May
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
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Itabirito W

(Away)
31 May
Itabirito W
2 : 1
Atletico-PI W
27 May
Itabirito W
2 : 1
Sport Recife W
24 May
Acao W
0 : 1
Itabirito W
20 May
Itabirito W
3 : 0
UD Alagoana W
16 May
Sport Recife W
0 : 1
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1245312:1017
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Ceara W1241712:1813
12Doce Mel W123459:1813
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)