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Vila Real vs Pacatuba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
20'
64' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vila Real
30%
Draws
31%
Pacatuba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Pacatuba on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Vila Real taking it.
  • Vila Real have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vila Real, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 68%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real Pacatuba
Matches Played 19 24
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.05 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Pacatuba
1:0
Sep 12, 2026 Cearense 3
Pacatuba vs Vila Real
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Cearense 3
Pacatuba vs Vila Real
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real 50 / 100
Pacatuba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real Pacatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Real scored in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Pacatuba let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Vila Real has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real VS Pacatuba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real

(Home)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
Page 1 of 4

Pacatuba

(Away)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vila Real 2
Pacatuba 1
Acopiara 3
Esporte Limoeiro 1
Final
Vila Real 1
Acopiara 2