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Vila Real vs Palmacia

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Cearense 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Joao Neto
57' Event
Nael
83' Event
Lucas Santos

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 game between Vila Real and Palmacia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vila Real
20%
Draws
0%
Palmacia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Palmacia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vila Real's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 20%
Palmacia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Real Palmacia
Matches Played 15 5
Wins 6 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.07 0.6
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Palmacia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Neto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Palmacia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Real 85 / 100
Palmacia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Real Palmacia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmacia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Vila Real stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Palmacia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vila Real VS Palmacia
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Real

(Home)
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
01 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
25 Jul
Vila Real
0 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
Page 1 of 3

Palmacia

(Away)
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
02 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 3
Acopiara
26 Jul
Calouros do Ar
1 : 0
Palmacia

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
2 Acopiara 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Esporte Limoeiro 4 2 1 1 4:1 7
4 Pacatuba 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
5 Calouros do Ar 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Tiangua EC 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
7 Palmacia 5 0 0 5 3:10 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)