Sport Picks
Vilafranquense vs BSAD
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
Match Events
13'
13'
Lima J.
20'
20'
Martins B.
46'
46'
Sub
Dias R. In: Sangare B.
Out: Dias R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to BSAD lately — more wins on the board than Vilafranquense.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 24%
BSAD Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilafranquense | BSAD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs BSAD
1:1
Jan 21, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Vilafranquense
0:3
Dec 11, 2022 League Cup
Vilafranquense vs BSAD
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vilafranquense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
BSAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vilafranquense 33 / 100
BSAD 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vilafranquense BSAD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BSAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vilafranquense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
BSAD has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Vilafranquense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vilafranquense VS BSAD
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vilafranquense
(Home) 28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1 Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
17 Apr
Vilafranquense
0 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
02 Apr
Vilafranquense
4 : 0 Nacional
Page 1 of 3
BSAD
(Away) 11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1 BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1 Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2 Mafra
Page 1 of 7
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1 BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
05 May
Leixoes
0 : 2 BSAD
23 Apr
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0 BSAD
08 Apr
Benfica B
0 : 1 BSAD
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 77:38 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 57:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 55:35 | 63 |
| 4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Mafra | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42:36 | 46 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Torreense | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 51:50 | 43 |
| 11 | Tondela | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 35:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:47 | 39 |
| 13 | Nacional | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Benfica B | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | BSAD | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Trofense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:51 | 32 |
| 18 | Covilha | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:57 | 28 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)
