Sport Picks
Vilafranquense vs Covilha Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
Match Events
61'
61'
Sub
Martins B. In: Amorim J.
Out: Martins B.
70'
70'
Sub
Queta M. In: Nene
Out: Queta M.
70'
70'
Sub
Mercado J. In: Belkheir M.
Out: Mercado J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vilafranquense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Vilafranquense at 1.03 per game, Covilha at 0.77.
- Model gives Vilafranquense a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 68%
Covilha Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilafranquense | Covilha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Covilha
0:0
Jan 8, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs Vilafranquense
0:0
Jan 30, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Covilha vs Vilafranquense
1:1
Aug 23, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Covilha
1:1
Mar 8, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Covilha
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vilafranquense 59 / 100
Covilha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vilafranquense Covilha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vilafranquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vilafranquense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Covilha conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Vilafranquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Covilha
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vilafranquense
(Home) 28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1 Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
17 Apr
Vilafranquense
0 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
02 Apr
Vilafranquense
4 : 0 Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Covilha
(Away) 12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1 Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3 Atletico CP
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2 Covilha
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0 Covilha
25 Apr
Caldas SC
1 : 1 Covilha
18 Apr
Lusitano GC
1 : 0 Covilha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 77:38 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 57:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 55:35 | 63 |
| 4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Mafra | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42:36 | 46 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Torreense | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 51:50 | 43 |
| 11 | Tondela | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 35:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:47 | 39 |
| 13 | Nacional | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Benfica B | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | BSAD | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Trofense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:51 | 32 |
| 18 | Covilha | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:57 | 28 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)
