Sport Picks
Vilafranquense vs Estrela da Amadora
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
Match Events
14'
14'
Hevertton S.
25'
25'
Tavares R.
55'
55'
Ceitil A.
AI Match Summary
Estrela da Amadora in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela da Amadora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrela da Amadora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Estrela da Amadora have won more games recently than Vilafranquense.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilafranquense | Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Estrela da Amadora
0:1
Oct 31, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Estrela da Amadora vs Vilafranquense
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Estrela da Amadora vs Vilafranquense
0:1
Nov 5, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Estrela da Amadora
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vilafranquense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Estrela da Amadora Compare
Top Goalscorer Vito
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vilafranquense 32 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vilafranquense Estrela da Amadora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vilafranquense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Estrela da Amadora conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Vilafranquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Estrela da Amadora
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vilafranquense
(Home) 28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1 Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
17 Apr
Vilafranquense
0 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
02 Apr
Vilafranquense
4 : 0 Nacional
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Estrela da Amadora
(Away) 20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
16 May
Braga
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
02 May
Moreirense
3 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 77:38 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 57:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 55:35 | 63 |
| 4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Mafra | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42:36 | 46 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Torreense | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 51:50 | 43 |
| 11 | Tondela | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 35:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:47 | 39 |
| 13 | Nacional | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Benfica B | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | BSAD | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Trofense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:51 | 32 |
| 18 | Covilha | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:57 | 28 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)
