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Vilafranquense vs Macao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 game between Vilafranquense and Macao finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilafranquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vilafranquense
20%
Draws
30%
Macao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vilafranquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilafranquense come out ahead of Macao on wins alone.
  • Vilafranquense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 11%
Macao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilafranquense Macao
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.03 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vilafranquense vs Macao
1:0
Sep 2, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Macao vs Vilafranquense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilafranquense 74 / 100
Macao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilafranquense Macao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilafranquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macao has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Vilafranquense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vilafranquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilafranquense VS Macao
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilafranquense

(Home)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
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Macao

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
12 May
Sintrense
5 : 0
Macao
05 May
Macao
0 : 1
Caldas SC
28 Apr
Santa Iria
3 : 1
Macao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)