Sport Picks
Vilafranquense vs SC Farense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
Match Events
61'
61'
Silvio
65'
65'
Martins B.
68'
68'
Sub
Ponde C. In: Mattheus
Out: Ponde C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between Vilafranquense and SC Farense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Farense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Vilafranquense haven't matched SC Farense's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans SC Farense's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 22%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilafranquense | SC Farense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs SC Farense
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Vilafranquense
2:1
Feb 27, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Vilafranquense
1:0
Oct 3, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs SC Farense
2:2
Feb 21, 2020 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs SC Farense
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vilafranquense Compare
Top Goalscorer Martins B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
SC Farense Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vilafranquense 24 / 100
SC Farense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vilafranquense SC Farense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Farense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vilafranquense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: SC Farense conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Vilafranquense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS SC Farense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vilafranquense
(Home) 28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1 Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
17 Apr
Vilafranquense
0 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
02 Apr
Vilafranquense
4 : 0 Nacional
Page 1 of 3
SC Farense
(Away) 04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0 Chaves
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1 SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0 SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1 FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1 SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0 SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1 SC Farense
16 Aug
FC Porto B
1 : 3 SC Farense
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0 SC Farense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 77:38 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 57:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 55:35 | 63 |
| 4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Mafra | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42:36 | 46 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Torreense | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 51:50 | 43 |
| 11 | Tondela | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 35:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:47 | 39 |
| 13 | Nacional | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Benfica B | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | BSAD | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Trofense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:51 | 32 |
| 18 | Covilha | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:57 | 28 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)
