Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilafranquense vs Torreense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Silvio
29' Event
Martins B.
40' Event
Mercado J.

AI Match Summary

Vilafranquense in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilafranquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vilafranquense
35%
Draws
40%
Torreense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torreense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Torreense have won more games recently than Vilafranquense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vilafranquense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 17%
Torreense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilafranquense Torreense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Torreense
2:0
Nov 11, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Vilafranquense
0:1
Jul 21, 2021 Club Friendly
Vilafranquense vs Torreense
0:1
May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Torreense vs Vilafranquense
1:2
Jan 6, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vilafranquense vs Torreense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilafranquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mercado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Torreense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilafranquense 31 / 100
Torreense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilafranquense Torreense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilafranquense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vilafranquense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Torreense has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Torreense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilafranquense

(Home)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
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Torreense

(Away)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)