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Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Vilamarxant and Novelda CF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vilamarxant
20%
Draws
64%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novelda CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novelda CF come out ahead of Vilamarxant on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Novelda CF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vilamarxant Clean Sheet 16%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilamarxant Novelda CF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.66 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Vilamarxant
2:1
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF
2:2
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Vilamarxant
1:0
Jan 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Vilamarxant vs Novelda CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilamarxant 19 / 100
Novelda CF 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilamarxant Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Novelda CF conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Novelda CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Vilamarxant scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilamarxant VS Novelda CF
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilamarxant

(Home)
04 Jun
Hercules B
5 : 0
Vilamarxant
30 May
Vilamarxant
0 : 4
Villajoyosa
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
09 May
Crevillente
1 : 0
Vilamarxant
01 May
Vilamarxant
0 : 0
Hercules B
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Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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