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Vilassar de Mar vs CF Badalona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Penalver J.
15' Event
Bonilla P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between Vilassar de Mar and CF Badalona finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Badalona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Vilassar de Mar
15%
Draws
64%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Badalona come out ahead of Vilassar de Mar on wins alone.
  • CF Badalona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 13%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar CF Badalona
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs CF Badalona
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Vilassar de Mar
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs CF Badalona
1:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs CF Badalona
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Vilassar de Mar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalver J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonilla P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
CF Badalona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Badalona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Vilassar de Mar found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: CF Badalona conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Vilassar de Mar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS CF Badalona
0.43 Goals Scored 1.25
2.14 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
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CF Badalona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
27 Sept
CF Badalona
4 : 0
San Cristobal CP
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)