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Vilassar de Mar vs L Hospitalet Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Quer I.
50' Event
Quer I.
56' Event
Ribeiro F.

AI Match Summary

L Hospitalet in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored L Hospitalet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vilassar de Mar
30%
Draws
47%
L Hospitalet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: L Hospitalet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to L Hospitalet lately — more wins on the board than Vilassar de Mar.
  • L Hospitalet are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors L Hospitalet here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 11%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar L Hospitalet
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs L Hospitalet
1:4
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Vilassar de Mar
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs L Hospitalet
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Vilassar de Mar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Quer I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
L Hospitalet 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar L Hospitalet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick L Hospitalet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

L Hospitalet has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vilassar de Mar scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Vilassar de Mar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS L Hospitalet
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

L Hospitalet

(Away)
27 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 2
Cerdanyola del Valles
19 Sept
Cornella
0 : 0
L Hospitalet
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
09 Sept
Comillas CF
3 : 2
L Hospitalet
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)