Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mejia A.
70' Event
Partera A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vilassar de Mar
30%
Draws
31%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vilassar de Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peralada lately — more wins on the board than Vilassar de Mar.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Vilassar de Mar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Peralada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar Peralada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Vilassar de Mar
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Vilassar de Mar
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Partera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 59 / 100
Peralada 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilassar de Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peralada let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Vilassar de Mar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Vilassar de Mar found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS Peralada
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
10 May
FE Grama
1 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
18 Apr
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
CF Vilanova
12 Apr
FC Lescala
1 : 4
Vilassar de Mar
Page 1 of 6

Peralada

(Away)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
19 Apr
Peralada
1 : 0
UE Vic
12 Apr
L Hospitalet
3 : 0
Peralada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)