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Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mejia A.
70' Event
Partera A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vilassar de Mar
20%
Draws
58%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peralada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peralada lately — more wins on the board than Vilassar de Mar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Peralada taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 14%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar Peralada
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Vilassar de Mar
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Vilassar de Mar
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Peralada
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Partera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
Peralada 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peralada let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Vilassar de Mar found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Vilassar de Mar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS Peralada
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
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Peralada

(Away)
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)