Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Barri G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between Vilassar de Mar and Pobla Mafumet finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vilassar de Mar
15%
Draws
59%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilassar de Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pobla Mafumet a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vilassar de Mar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.84 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Vilassar de Mar
2:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Pobla Mafumet
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Barri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Pobla Mafumet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar Pobla Mafumet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobla Mafumet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vilassar de Mar scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Vilassar de Mar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS Pobla Mafumet
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 7

Pobla Mafumet

(Away)
04 Oct
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 1
Pobla Mafumet
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)