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Vilassar de Mar vs UE Sants - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 game between Vilassar de Mar and UE Sants finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vilassar de Mar
20%
Draws
32%
UE Sants
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vilassar de Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilassar de Mar come out ahead of UE Sants on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vilassar de Mar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 24%
UE Sants Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar UE Sants
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Sants
3:0
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs Vilassar de Mar
2:4
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Sants
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs Vilassar de Mar
0:2
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs Vilassar de Mar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 33 / 100
UE Sants 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar UE Sants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Sants Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Sants let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: UE Sants registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vilassar de Mar's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilassar de Mar

(Home)
04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6
CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 7

UE Sants

(Away)
23 Apr
Peralada
0 : 0
UE Sants
16 Apr
UE Sants
1 : 2
Pobla Mafumet
07 Apr
UE Tona
1 : 1
UE Sants
02 Apr
UE Sants
2 : 3
FE Grama
26 Mar
FC Vilafranca
3 : 2
UE Sants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Europa 30 18 6 6 42:21 60
2 Sant Andreu 30 15 11 4 50:31 56
3 San Cristobal CP 30 14 10 6 36:21 52
4 L Hospitalet 30 15 6 9 53:33 51
5 Peralada 30 14 7 9 41:33 49
6 UE Castelldefels 30 13 5 12 31:35 44
7 Pobla Mafumet 30 12 7 11 40:35 43
8 Girona B 30 12 7 11 45:34 43
9 Montanesa 30 10 10 10 38:38 40
10 FE Grama 30 9 10 11 38:46 37
11 UE Tona 30 8 9 13 36:51 33
12 UE Rapitenca 30 8 8 14 37:48 32
13 CF Badalona 30 7 10 13 32:35 31
14 FC Vilafranca 30 7 9 14 38:55 30
15 Vilassar de Mar 30 6 10 14 33:47 28
16 UE Sants 30 5 9 16 29:56 24
17 Cerdanyola del Valles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 (Play Offs)