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Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Partera A.
55' Event
Rivera P.
73' Event
Torondel H.

AI Match Summary

Vilassar de Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilassar de Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vilassar de Mar
11%
Draws
9%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vilassar de Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UE Tona have won more games recently than Vilassar de Mar.
  • Model gives Vilassar de Mar a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 20%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilassar de Mar UE Tona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Vilassar de Mar
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Vilassar de Mar
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona
0:3
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Partera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilanova E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilassar de Mar 76 / 100
UE Tona 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilassar de Mar UE Tona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Vilassar de Mar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vilassar de Mar scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilassar de Mar VS UE Tona
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CE Manresa34199655:3266
2CF Badalona341712543:2763
3Cornella34179850:3660
4CF Vilanova341511838:2756
5L Hospitalet341671155:3955
6FE Grama341412849:3554
7FC Lescala3412101251:5146
8Peralada3411131045:3946
9UE Tona341015935:3145
10CE Europa B341291344:5345
11Montanesa341191431:3942
12Mollerussa349131239:4340
13Vilassar de Mar349111436:3838
14San Cristobal CP348131339:4837
15Cerdanyola del Valles346161240:5334
16Can Vidalet34891735:5333
17UE Vic347111631:4732
18Lleida344131721:4625