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Vilavelhense U20 vs CTE Colatina U20

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilavelhense U20 play CTE Colatina U20 in the Capixaba U20. Vilavelhense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Vilavelhense U20 averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. CTE Colatina U20 averaged 0.56 goals scored and 4.56 conceded. In past meetings, Vilavelhense U20 won 1, CTE Colatina U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Vilavelhense U20 and 1.50 for CTE Colatina U20. This points to a Vilavelhense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Vilavelhense U20
15%
Draws
13%
CTE Colatina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilavelhense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilavelhense U20 picked up more points recently compared to CTE Colatina U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Vilavelhense U20 Clean Sheet 16%
CTE Colatina U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilavelhense U20 CTE Colatina U20
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 15 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.9 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.76 4.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Capixaba U20
Vilavelhense U20 vs CTE Colatina U20
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilavelhense U20 68 / 100
CTE Colatina U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilavelhense U20 CTE Colatina U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilavelhense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vilavelhense U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilavelhense U20 attacking → ← attacking CTE Colatina U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilavelhense U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

CTE Colatina U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vilavelhense U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CTE Colatina U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Porto Vitoria U20870135:821
2Rio Branco ES U20862023:620
3Vilavelhense U20851215:1416
4Forte U20850316:1315
5Tupy U20841319:1013
6Vitoria ES U20830519:209
7Pinheiros U2082157:187
8Sport-ES U20811612:214
9CTE Colatina U2080086:420