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Vilavelhense vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Vilavelhense Logo

Vilavelhense

1 - 5
FT
Jaguare Logo

Jaguare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaguare in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaguare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vilavelhense
30%
Draws
23%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaguare haven't matched Vilavelhense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vilavelhense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilavelhense Jaguare
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 17 13
Draws 13 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Jaguare
1:1
Apr 11, 2010 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Jaguare
1:1
Feb 19, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Vilavelhense
2:2
Mar 14, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Vilavelhense
1:0
Jan 11, 2009 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Jaguare
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilavelhense 85 / 100
Jaguare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilavelhense Jaguare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilavelhense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vilavelhense scored in 83% of their last 41 outings.

Jaguare has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vilavelhense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilavelhense VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilavelhense

(Home)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 9

Jaguare

(Away)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)