Sport Picks
Vilavelhense vs Serra
Brazil
Capixaba Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Capixaba game between Vilavelhense and Serra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilavelhense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serra carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Vilavelhense's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vilavelhense | Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vilavelhense Compare
Serra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vilavelhense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Serra conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Vilavelhense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vilavelhense
(Home)Serra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Serra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Porto Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Desportiva Ferroviaria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Forte | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:4 | 11 |
| 9 | Capixaba SC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Rio Branco-VN | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
