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Vilaverdense FC vs Brito

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilaverdense FC play Brito in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Brito are favorites here. Recently, Vilaverdense FC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Brito averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Vilaverdense FC won 0, Brito won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Vilaverdense FC and 1.69 for Brito. This points to a Brito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Vilaverdense FC
21%
Draws
59%
Brito
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Brito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense FC picked up more points recently compared to Brito.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 13%
Brito Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC Brito
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Brito
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Vilaverdense FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Brito Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 21 / 100
Brito 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC Brito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Brito & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vilaverdense FC attacking → ← attacking Brito

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilaverdense FC scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Brito let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Vilaverdense FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Brito lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 58
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317