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Vilaverdense FC vs CD Ribeira Brava

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Monteiro R.
29' Event
Pedras N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vilaverdense FC
33%
Draws
27%
CD Ribeira Brava
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vilaverdense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Ribeira Brava average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Vilaverdense FC's 0.38.
  • Vilaverdense FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ribeira Brava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC CD Ribeira Brava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs CD Ribeira Brava
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Ribeira Brava vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedras N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

CD Ribeira Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 50 / 100
CD Ribeira Brava 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC CD Ribeira Brava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Ribeira Brava conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

CD Ribeira Brava's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vilaverdense FC scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense FC VS CD Ribeira Brava
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317