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Vilaverdense FC vs Ninense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 game between Vilaverdense FC and Ninense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vilaverdense FC
6%
Draws
90%
Ninense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ninense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ninense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ninense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC Ninense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Ninense
1:0
Mar 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Vilaverdense FC
0:1
Dec 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Ninense
1:1
Sep 15, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100
Ninense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC Ninense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ninense conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Vilaverdense FC scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Vilaverdense FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1484220:939
2AD Fafe1464420:1439
3SC Vianense1466219:1337
4SC Mirandela1447318:1334
5Santa Maria FC1455415:1531
6Pedras Salgadas1436512:1523
7Ninense1435612:1918
8Valenciano14131011:2917