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Vilaverdense FC vs Padroense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vilaverdense FC in this Second Division - Zona Norte matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vilaverdense FC
15%
Draws
49%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Padroense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Padroense average 0.77 goals a game right now, well clear of Vilaverdense FC's 0.59.
  • Padroense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Padroense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 20%
Padroense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense FC Padroense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.59 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Vilaverdense FC vs Padroense
1:0
Nov 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Vilaverdense FC
1:0
Aug 31, 2008 Taça de Portugal
Padroense vs Vilaverdense FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense FC 28 / 100
Padroense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense FC Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padroense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padroense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Padroense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vilaverdense FC scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense FC

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
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Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)