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Vilaverdense W vs Albergaria/Durit W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Cruz do Reguengo
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Martins C.
Assist: Henriques A.
31' Event
Pinheiro B.
Assist: Silveira K.
36'
Martins D.

AI Match Summary

Albergaria/Durit W in this Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albergaria/Durit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Vilaverdense W
17%
Draws
70%
Albergaria/Durit W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Albergaria/Durit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Albergaria/Durit W at 0.5 per game, Vilaverdense W at 0.
  • Win probability leans Albergaria/Durit W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Albergaria/Durit W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Albergaria/Durit W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 6
Losses 26 21
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 5.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:5
Dec 12, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Vilaverdense W
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Vilaverdense W
2:0
Nov 18, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:2
May 7, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martins C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 14 / 100
Albergaria/Durit W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Albergaria/Durit W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albergaria/Durit W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Albergaria/Durit W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Vilaverdense W found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense W VS Albergaria/Durit W
0 Goals Scored 0.5
5.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110