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Vilaverdense W vs Braga W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2024/2025 Estadio Cruz do Reguengo, Vila Verde
Sun, Sep 8, 2024
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça da Liga Women 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Vilaverdense W at 0.37 goals for, 4.13 against; Braga W at 1.88 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Braga W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.49) back Braga W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vilaverdense W
20%
Draws
80%
Braga W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Braga W lately — more wins on the board than Vilaverdense W.
  • Braga W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Braga W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Braga W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Braga W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 16%
Braga W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Braga W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 16
Draws 1 9
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0.37 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Vilaverdense W
4:0
Oct 2, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Braga W
0:7
Sep 8, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Vilaverdense W vs Braga W
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Braga W vs Vilaverdense W
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Vilaverdense W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
Braga W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Braga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Vilaverdense W scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Braga W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

Away concern: Braga W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Braga W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense W

(Home)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
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Braga W

(Away)
04 Oct
Braga W
0 : 6
SL Benfica W
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing Power W -
TBD -
Torreense W 6
Famalicao W 0
SL Benfica W -
TBD -
Maritimo W 3
Estoril Praia W 2
Sporting W -
TBD -
Valadares Gaia W 2
Albergaria/Durit W 1
Damaiense W -
TBD -
Braga W 6
Vilaverdense W 0
Quarter-finals
Racing Power W 1
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 5
Maritimo W 0
Sporting W 5
Valadares Gaia W 4
Damaiense W 4
Braga W 3
Semi-finals
Torreense W 0
SL Benfica W 6
Sporting W 8
Damaiense W 1
Final
SL Benfica W 2
Sporting W 1