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Vilaverdense W vs Ouriense W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pamela
52' Event
Santana L.
Penalty Missed
85' Event
Santos A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 game between Vilaverdense W and Ouriense W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vilaverdense W
15%
Draws
85%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ouriense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense W haven't matched Ouriense W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ouriense W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilaverdense W Ouriense W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 20
Goals Scored 0.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 4.03 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Ouriense W
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W
0:2
Oct 30, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Ouriense W
0:3
Jan 6, 2019 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Vilaverdense W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilaverdense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pamela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
Ouriense W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilaverdense W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouriense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouriense W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Ouriense W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vilaverdense W found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Vilaverdense W VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
4.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilaverdense W

(Home)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
Page 1 of 7

Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)