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Vilhenense vs Real Ariquemes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2018
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AI Match Summary

Vilhenense in this Campeonato Rondoniense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilhenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Vilhenense
30%
Draws
8%
Real Ariquemes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vilhenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilhenense lately — more wins on the board than Real Ariquemes.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Vilhenense Clean Sheet 20%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilhenense Real Ariquemes
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.42
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.73 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhenense
0:0
Apr 19, 2018 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhenense
2:0
Mar 1, 2018 Rondoniense
Vilhenense vs Real Ariquemes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilhenense 32 / 100
Real Ariquemes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilhenense Real Ariquemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vilhenense scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Real Ariquemes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Recent resilience: Vilhenense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Real Ariquemes registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Ariquemes
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 4.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilhenense

(Home)
08 Apr
Vilhenense
1 : 0
CA Rondoniense
02 Apr
Ji-Parana
1 : 0
Vilhenense
25 Mar
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Vilhenense
18 Mar
Vilhenense
0 : 0
Genus
11 Mar
Vilhenense
1 : 0
Guapore
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Real Ariquemes

(Away)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Rondoniense 14 8 4 2 24:12 28
2 Vilhenense 14 7 3 4 24:13 24
3 Real Ariquemes 14 7 2 5 23:16 23
4 Barcelona RO 14 6 4 4 25:23 22
5 Guajara 14 6 4 4 14:14 22
6 Genus 14 4 2 8 17:25 14
7 Ji-Parana 14 4 1 9 20:23 13
8 Vilhena 14 4 0 10 11:32 12
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2018 (Play Offs)