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Viljandi vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Alijev R.
41' Event
Krillo E.
(Penalty)
44'
Kukebal J.
Out: Kukebal J.

AI Match Summary

Viljandi in this Meistriliiga 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viljandi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Viljandi
30%
Draws
39%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev have won more games recently than Viljandi.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Viljandi Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viljandi Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.37 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Tallinna Kalev
2:1
Sep 1, 2012 Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Viljandi
2:2
Aug 14, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Mar 10, 2012 Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Viljandi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viljandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Leimann J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Alijev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viljandi 26 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viljandi Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Viljandi's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Viljandi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tallinna Kalev
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Viljandi

(Home)
16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
:
Viljandi
03 Nov
Viljandi
0 : 5
Sillamae Kalev
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3
Viljandi
24 Oct
Viljandi
3 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
20 Oct
Viljandi
2 : 5
Narva
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalju 36 29 5 2 106:17 92
2 Levadia 36 25 8 3 85:22 83
3 Flora 36 26 3 7 87:24 81
4 Narva 36 16 7 13 52:44 55
5 Sillamae Kalev 36 15 10 11 51:43 55
6 Paide Linnameeskond 36 11 9 16 34:52 42
7 Kuressaare 36 5 11 20 31:80 26
8 Viljandi 36 6 8 22 33:88 26
9 Tallinna Kalev 36 4 9 23 27:87 21
10 Tammeka Tartu 36 4 8 24 30:79 20
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2012 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)