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Vilki/Marupe vs Alberts JDFS

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Cudars D.
67' Event
Tomingass R.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Upis G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Alberts JDFS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vilki/Marupe
15%
Draws
51%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vilki/Marupe haven't matched Alberts JDFS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alberts JDFS's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Alberts JDFS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alberts JDFS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vilki/Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilki/Marupe Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 2 17
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2013 Latvian Cup
Vilki/Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilki/Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Cudars D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Upis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilki/Marupe 18 / 100
Alberts JDFS 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilki/Marupe Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilki/Marupe scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Alberts JDFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vilki/Marupe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alberts JDFS
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilki/Marupe

(Home)
05 Jul
Vilki/Marupe
0 : 3
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Vilki/Marupe
0 : 1
FK 1625 Liepaja
17 Jul
Upesciems
1 : 2
Vilki/Marupe
24 Oct
Vilki/Marupe
2 : 3
Upesciems
17 Oct
Vilki/Marupe
1 : 0
Priekuli

Alberts JDFS

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0