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Vilki/Marupe vs Upesciems

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Latvian Cup 2009/2010
Vilki/Marupe Logo

Vilki/Marupe

Sat, Oct 24, 2009
2 - 3
11:00 AM
Upesciems Logo

Upesciems

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Upesciems in this Latvian Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vilki/Marupe
15%
Draws
28%
Upesciems
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilki/Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Upesciems have won more games recently than Vilki/Marupe.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Vilki/Marupe taking it.
  • Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vilki/Marupe Clean Sheet 15%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilki/Marupe Upesciems
Matches Played 5 20
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2010 Latvian Cup
Upesciems vs Vilki/Marupe
1:2
Oct 24, 2009 Latvian Cup
Vilki/Marupe vs Upesciems
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilki/Marupe 57 / 100
Upesciems 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilki/Marupe Upesciems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilki/Marupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upesciems's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vilki/Marupe found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).

Upesciems lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilki/Marupe VS Upesciems
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.38
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilki/Marupe

(Home)
05 Jul
Vilki/Marupe
0 : 3
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Vilki/Marupe
0 : 1
FK 1625 Liepaja
17 Jul
Upesciems
1 : 2
Vilki/Marupe
24 Oct
Vilki/Marupe
2 : 3
Upesciems
17 Oct
Vilki/Marupe
1 : 0
Priekuli

Upesciems

(Away)
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3
Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4
Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3
FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0
Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2
Lubana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
Viesulis 1
Ozolnieki 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Gulbene 2
Adazi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 4
Elvi 1
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
Kauguri-PBLC -
TBD -
FK Olaine 0
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flaminko 10
JFC Dobele 0
Brali 3
FK 1625 Liepaja 4
FK Metta -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 1
Priekuli 0
Bebri 4
Upesciems 5
Valka 5
FK Alberts 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Adazi 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 0
FC Jurmala 2
Kauguri-PBLC 8
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
Flaminko 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Metta 4
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 2
Upesciems 3
Valka 1
FK Auda Riga 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 2
Tranzits 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 4
Ventspils 4
FC Jurmala 0
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Skonto 3
Olimps Riga 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Metta 1
RFS 3
Blazma 5
Upesciems 0
Valka 0
FK Daugava Riga 13
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 4
FK Liepaja 3
Ventspils 0
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 4
RFS 0
Blazma 0
FK Daugava Riga 4
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Final
Jelgava 3
FK Daugava Riga 2