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Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Kursiai Neringa

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2005 game between Vilkmerge Ukmerge and Kursiai Neringa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilkmerge Ukmerge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
6%
Draws
90%
Kursiai Neringa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kursiai Neringa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilkmerge Ukmerge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kursiai Neringa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Clean Sheet 10%
Kursiai Neringa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilkmerge Ukmerge Kursiai Neringa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 3.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2005 I Lyga
Kursiai Neringa vs Vilkmerge Ukmerge
3:0
Jul 6, 2005 I Lyga
Vilkmerge Ukmerge vs Kursiai Neringa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilkmerge Ukmerge 10 / 100
Kursiai Neringa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilkmerge Ukmerge Kursiai Neringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursiai Neringa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kursiai Neringa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vilkmerge Ukmerge scored in 56% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilkmerge Ukmerge VS Kursiai Neringa
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilkmerge Ukmerge

(Home)
28 Oct
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
0 : 2
FK Klaipeda
20 Oct
Tauras Taurage
3 : 0
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
13 Oct
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
0 : 7
FK Atletas
06 Oct
Kauno Jegeriai
2 : 1
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
29 Sept
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
2 : 0
Anyksciai
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Kursiai Neringa

(Away)
18 Jun
Kursiai Neringa
1 : 3
Palanga
15 Aug
Kursiai Neringa
2 : 3
Svyturys Marijampole
15 Jun
Gelezinis Vilkas
0 : 3
Kursiai Neringa
29 Oct
Kursiai Neringa
3 : 0
Vilkmerge Ukmerge
23 Oct
Kursiai Neringa
1 : 2
Gelezinis Vilkas
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