Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villa Espanola vs Bella Vista

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2022 Obdulio Varela
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tarragona R.
Own Goal
71' Event
Viera E.
85'
Bentos-Pereira M.

AI Match Summary

Bella Vista in this Segunda Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bella Vista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Villa Espanola
22%
Draws
18%
Bella Vista
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Villa Espanola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bella Vista average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Villa Espanola's 0.25.
  • Model gives Villa Espanola a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Villa Espanola Clean Sheet 68%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villa Espanola Bella Vista
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Segunda Division
Villa Espanola vs Bella Vista
0:2
Oct 22, 2022 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola
0:1
Oct 5, 2019 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola
3:2
Jul 2, 2019 Segunda Division
Villa Espanola vs Bella Vista
1:3
Mar 21, 2009 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villa Espanola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Viera E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villa Espanola 68 / 100
Bella Vista 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villa Espanola Bella Vista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bella Vista let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bella Vista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Villa Espanola scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villa Espanola VS Bella Vista
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Bella Vista2
Villa Espanola1
Central Esp.2
Potencia3